Wednesday, December 3, 2014
Soccer can explain the world, but so can goods and crops
When first reading the title of Franklin Foer's "How Soccer Explains the World", I predicted that Foer would somehow use the rules and mechanics of soccer to develop a direct connection to globalization. However, my prediction was a little too literal. In "How Soccer Explains the World", Foer explores the trend between politics and one of the most popular sports in the world. I admire Foer's unique examination of globalization (however if he could have tied the actual mechanics of soccer to explaining how the world works, that would have been much cooler). Nonetheless Foer uses anecdotes about the Red Star of Belgrade to the relationship between the Protestant Rangers and the Catholic Celtics.
I would like to examine some other influential aspect of the world that can explain globalization. Those aspects, are goods and crops. The spread and exchange of crops have been active for centuries now. This communication of crops and goods between nations has led to economic expansion and spurred change across the globe.
Take the Columbian Exchange for instance. This system created unprecedented connections for crops between the America, Europe, Africa and Asia. The exchange had an economic impact on parts of Europe in particular, some cities were even recognized as “boom towns”. Additionally the people of Europe were healthier than ever before.
Author of “1493: Uncovering the New World Columbus Created”, Charles Mann says that “There’s no way the Industrial Revolution could have so occured so quickly and so widely if the world had depended solely on Brazilians tapping rubber trees”. Many revolutionary events in the world have happened because of the open flow of goods and crops.
In the New York Times article, Fresh and Direct From the Garden an Ocean Away, John Tierney
analyzes the text “1493: Uncovering the New World Columbus Created” by Charles Mann. Tierney points out a key statement made by Charles Mann, where he writes “ The Columbian Exchange...is the reason there are tomatoes in Italy, oranges in the United States, chocolate sin Switzerland, and chili peppers in Thailand..the Columbus Exchange is arguable the most important event since the death of dinosaurs.”. Like Mann, I would argue that it is hard to imagine how the world we live in today came to be without spread of goods and crops.
Monday, December 1, 2014
Sports Diplomacy
This post will reference this article: http://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/colleges/fight-ends-georgetown-basketball-exhibition-in-china/2011/08/18/gIQAs1zeNJ_story.html.
In August of 2011, the men’s basketball team of
Georgetown University, a prestigious school located within Washington, DC, was
on a goodwill tour of China, to play several games with teams from China’s
professional basketball league, among others. The Hoyas, as the team is known,
played a game against a professional team whose players are all active duty members
of the Chinese army. The game was very physical, with lopsided foul calls in
favor of the Chinese, and aggressive, with a Chinese player yelling at the Hoya
coach during play and a cheering section of Chinese soldiers cheering for the
team in a surprisingly martial manner. With about 10 minutes left to play, a
confrontation between a Hoy and a Chinese player quickly escalated into a
bench-clearing brawl, with far more violence than the typical shoving matches
most American basketball teams get into. Chinese supporters ran onto the court
and threw projectiles at the Hoyas as the Americans retreated to their locker
room.
On that note, let’s talk about the positive aspects of sport
diplomacy! The use of athletic competition to work towards achieving international
political goals is an intriguing topic, and notwithstanding the occasional
mishap like the one above, it generally has good outcomes for all involved.
The Olympics are a prime example of this. When they were
first started, wars between participating city-states in Ancient Greece would be
suspended so the games could go on. In their modern incarnation, medal counts
are interpreted as a point of national pride, and, in a far more abstract
sense, the relative international power of each country.
To seek out international sporting opportunities in order
to make IR gains is reminiscent of constructivism and liberalism, since the two
focus more on addressing squishier, more emotional factors that go into IR,
namely public opinion and goodwill. Like many children of upper-middle class
suburban America, I played soccer in a recreational league. While this
experience didn’t make have much of an impact on the relations of my burbclave with
the other team’s burbclave, I could grasp how international competition in such
a universal sport, even if it turns ugly like the Hoyas game, is useful. Franklin
Foer’s book, How Soccer Explains the
World: An Unlikely Theory of Globalization, while I feel it is more a
collection of interesting anecdotes than a cohesive thesis, nonetheless highlights
the universality of the various effects
sport has on us all around the globe.
Identity, Soccer, and Terrorism
Matthew Smith
Blog
Post 4
As I read Foer’s
“How Soccer Explains the World” I found myself thinking about terrorist
organizations. The first chapter was of particular interest to me in its
description of the Delije and Arkan’s rise. I found myself drawing parallels
between soccer gangs, the Delije specifically, and terrorist groups. In both
cases the groups have a common factor serving as the basis of their
relationship, an effective leadership unifies and directs the group, and groups
find people from elsewhere flocking to them seeking something to identify with.
Terrorist
groups unify under an ideology whether it be religious or political or a blend
of both. The group is comprised of people with common interests or goals. When
these interests or goals are in conflict with the beliefs or goals of another
group a terrorist group can turn towards violence to combat the competing
ideology. The Delije began as a group of fans for the Serbian Belgarde Red
Star. The fan base identified heavily with the team as a symbol of their ethnic
identity. The fans rallied behind their team and against the other teams and
the ethnic identities they represented. The stage was set for the Ultra Bad
Boys (the name of the fan gang before they were militarized) to be mobilized by
their united ideology much like a terrorist group would.
When
we discuss terrorist organizations we discuss the leadership. Because
organizations are subnational it is easiest to identify them by their
leadership. Arkan was the leader of the Delije. He was able to use effective military
leadership to attain prominence and wealth. This is slightly different from a
terrorist organization where money and good arming often leads to effective
military leadership but still a leader was able to play on a group ready and
able to mobilize. As I read I kept comparing Arkan and his glorification to the
glorification of terrorist leaders within their groups. Arkan’s face was
everywhere and so was his tiger symbol. His people saw pictures of the horrible
things he did and they ate it up. The images that turned many sentiments in the
West against the Delije and its Serbian pride only served to further excite
Serbians. Arkan sought to intimidate and create fear in those he opposed and
his efforts galvanized the Serbs that supported him. His actions and their
results are similar to those of a terrorist group that uses successful bombings
and attacks as recruitment propaganda.
Turning
away from the example of the Delije I found one quote that resonated with me
regarding Irish soccer teams and their fandom. On page 39-40 Foer writes, “even
in the global market, they draw supporters who crave ethnic identification.”
This quote immediately connected to ISIS for me. In the wake of the
assassination videos in which a militant with a British accent executed
journalists James Foley and Steven Sotloff you saw numerous reports about
Western European and American Muslims defecting to the Middle East to connect
with their Muslim identity. In an effort to connect with what they thought it
meant to be a Muslim many young men were joining the ranks of ISIS, attracted
to it’s militant rhetoric and sensationalist actions. The Irish club teams
tried to attract fans by appealing to their sense of identity just as ISIS has
played on Western Muslims who feel that ISIS embodies their beliefs. I find it
interesting that people seek an ethnic connection so strongly. I myself
identify with my Norwegian heritage and pull for them in the Olympics even
though I have never been there.
In the end I may be pulling for straws but I am fascinated by how the Delije was organized and how both soccer and terrorism employ the ethnic identities of people to rally them to a cause. Once an identity forms the desire to protect it runs deep. Effective leaders know this and will always use people’s identities to their advantage.
In the end I may be pulling for straws but I am fascinated by how the Delije was organized and how both soccer and terrorism employ the ethnic identities of people to rally them to a cause. Once an identity forms the desire to protect it runs deep. Effective leaders know this and will always use people’s identities to their advantage.
Fourth Blog Post: Constructivism and Soccer
Constructivism can be applied to soccer. Constructivism looks at how the identities of states determines their interests. For this theory to be applied to soccer teams, soccer teams must be considered as states, as they control their own territory within the stadiums of their sport.
As teams originate due to different countries of origin or religious backgrounds, the teams form an identity. The premise of the team’s identity is either religion or nationalism. According to Wendt, “A fundamental principle of constructivist social theory is that people act towards objects, including other actors, on the basis of the meanings that the objects have for them” (Wendt 1992, pg. 60). As the followers of the team chant for their team or make crude insults at the fans of the opposing team, the followers are assigning meaning to the teams. One example of this is when the fans from a team called Chelsea made antisemitic remarks regarding the Jewish tradition of circumcision towards the Jewish fans of the team from Tottenham. To shut down the heckling, the Jews from Tottenham responded to the anti-semitism by proudly showing off their circumcised private parts (Foer 2010, pg. 80). By participating in the heckling, the fans have created the idea of a “self” and “other” (Lecture 5).
The creation of identities may cause conflicts between the fans of the two teams, as was the case with Red Star Belgrade (the serbian team) and Dinamo (the croatian team). According to Foer, “a brawl engulfed the entire stadium, with the combatants identified by the color of their shirts” (Foer 2010, pg. 16). The stadium unrest was part of an ethnic war in Yugoslavia, as the stadium was previously equipped to prepare for a brawl of the ethnicities. The two teams had conflicting ethnic identities that led to chaos in the stadium.
In creating two separate entities, security communities may form. The Jewish soccer club called HaKoah took athletes from its other boxing and wrestling clubs that the team had, and turned them into bodyguards (Foer 2010, chapter 3). The bodyguards formed a security community, so that they could provide protection to Jewish fans in case antisemitic tensions would rise to an unsafe level. To protect people that hold the same identity from violence and civil unrest is to form a security community.
Constructivists also look at the idea that society is socially constructed. This idea can be applied to soccer as the teams and their associated cultures can also be socially constructed. The Celtics were created because the Catholics were afraid that members of their community were being converted to Protestantism. The Protestants had wealth and soup kitchens to attract Catholics and influence them. To unite the Catholic community, the Celtics were formed and worked/played hard to create their own success. As the Celtics became more successful, the Rangers were created and eventually became a Protestant institution. The culture of the two teams became polarized as the two teams held on to their religious identities. The Rangers would not hire Catholics and prevented promotion to those who married Catholics. Also, when at the games, fans are expected to associate themselves with a team. Foer was given a scarf to support the Celtics and was forced to stand during a goal (Foer 2010, pg. 51). As a result of these two events, Foer had to support the team even though he intended to be neutral. Due to the religious rivalry between the Celtics and the Rangers, the teams and their cultures are socially constructed.
Constructivism can be applied to soccer. The teams have identities, create a “self” and “Other”, form security communities, and socially construct the societies around them. The teams can represent states as they control the territory of their stadiums.
Sunday, November 30, 2014
Blog Post 4
John Rookard
Blog Post 4
http://www.cnn.com/2014/11/21/business/lesotho-trout-for-japan/index.html?hpt=wo_t3
The article above discusses the relationship Japan has with Lesotho in order to benefit the fishery market of Japan. In Lesotho, the Katse Dam provides a great environmental setting for trout to flourish year round. In this process between the two countries, trout eggs are shipped from Denmark to Lesotho where they are kept in nurseries until the fish are able to survive in the water of the Katse Dam. Many would agree that there is a very different social feeling between Japan and Lesotho. I would like to argue that this relationship between Lesotho and Japan is a positive example of globalization because all actors benefit both financially and socially.
This exchange of fish and capital is an example of globalization and relates to Foer’s book How Soccer Explains the World because Japan can attempt to show Lesotho many uses of trout just like Silvio Berlusconi attempted to make Italy like Inter Milan Football Club. Currently, Lesotho relies primarily on South Africa for trade because South Africa surrounds Lesotho. Lesotho’s main industry is agriculture because of the arable land in the mountainous country. The diamond mining industry is starting to rise too which will only lead to higher economic gain. However, the farming of trout in Lesotho will produce winners on all sides.
This partnership is a great example of positive globalization. Japan receives trout which can then be processed for sushi and hopefully drive down consumer cost in the country. Lesotho receives an influx of money from Japan for raising these fish and shipping them to Japan. In the article, the reference was made about the extreme cost of this project. Although it may be costly I am in agreement with Fred Formanek because the demand for fish in Japan is constantly high. Globalization is a good thing especially when it comes to the trade of food. Food is needed all year but the weather in particular areas is not constant for growing year round. I believe that weather is the most important factor that this trout project has been so successful.
In regards to How Soccer Explains the World, Franklin Foer tells us that Silvio Berlusconi was seen as a winner and used this to his advantage in the political spectrum. This came “at a time when the economy sputtered and all politicians in Italy seemed like corrupt losers” and Berlusconi’s soccer success helped him (Foer 185). So, how does this relate to Lesotho and Japan? I believe that if necessary Japan can show Lesotho how to take their 5% of trout kept in this exchange and create new foods. I do not foresee a massive sushi following being created in Lesotho but it can add another food for the people to eat.
Although this process is intricate and hit a few bumps in the road at the beginning because of the shipping arrangements it is a huge success. Globalization is not new. Globalization has been happening since new ideas and goods were traded in the Far East. Now today we see globalization advancing in a positive way with the Lesotho/Japan trout project.
Blog Post 4
http://www.cnn.com/2014/11/21/business/lesotho-trout-for-japan/index.html?hpt=wo_t3
The article above discusses the relationship Japan has with Lesotho in order to benefit the fishery market of Japan. In Lesotho, the Katse Dam provides a great environmental setting for trout to flourish year round. In this process between the two countries, trout eggs are shipped from Denmark to Lesotho where they are kept in nurseries until the fish are able to survive in the water of the Katse Dam. Many would agree that there is a very different social feeling between Japan and Lesotho. I would like to argue that this relationship between Lesotho and Japan is a positive example of globalization because all actors benefit both financially and socially.
This exchange of fish and capital is an example of globalization and relates to Foer’s book How Soccer Explains the World because Japan can attempt to show Lesotho many uses of trout just like Silvio Berlusconi attempted to make Italy like Inter Milan Football Club. Currently, Lesotho relies primarily on South Africa for trade because South Africa surrounds Lesotho. Lesotho’s main industry is agriculture because of the arable land in the mountainous country. The diamond mining industry is starting to rise too which will only lead to higher economic gain. However, the farming of trout in Lesotho will produce winners on all sides.
This partnership is a great example of positive globalization. Japan receives trout which can then be processed for sushi and hopefully drive down consumer cost in the country. Lesotho receives an influx of money from Japan for raising these fish and shipping them to Japan. In the article, the reference was made about the extreme cost of this project. Although it may be costly I am in agreement with Fred Formanek because the demand for fish in Japan is constantly high. Globalization is a good thing especially when it comes to the trade of food. Food is needed all year but the weather in particular areas is not constant for growing year round. I believe that weather is the most important factor that this trout project has been so successful.
In regards to How Soccer Explains the World, Franklin Foer tells us that Silvio Berlusconi was seen as a winner and used this to his advantage in the political spectrum. This came “at a time when the economy sputtered and all politicians in Italy seemed like corrupt losers” and Berlusconi’s soccer success helped him (Foer 185). So, how does this relate to Lesotho and Japan? I believe that if necessary Japan can show Lesotho how to take their 5% of trout kept in this exchange and create new foods. I do not foresee a massive sushi following being created in Lesotho but it can add another food for the people to eat.
Although this process is intricate and hit a few bumps in the road at the beginning because of the shipping arrangements it is a huge success. Globalization is not new. Globalization has been happening since new ideas and goods were traded in the Far East. Now today we see globalization advancing in a positive way with the Lesotho/Japan trout project.
Tuesday, November 11, 2014
Iran's Behavior Causes Question in Motives
The above article outlines a partnership entered between
Russia and Iran. As per the deal, Russia will build eight nuclear reactors for
the “peaceful use of atomic energy in Iran.” This comes just days after it was
revealed that President Obama sent a letter to the Iranian Ayatollah Khamenei
offering assistance with the Iranian nuclear program in exchange for aid
rallying a force to combat ISIS. Iran is double-dealing with Russia and the
United States and may be seeking to attain a nuclear weapon despite claims
otherwise.
Though the a copy of the letter has yet to be leaked, the
alleged content of the letter has enraged republicans who believe Obama’s
approach is the wrong one. Republicans believe that cooperation in the Middle
East with ISIS will end in Asaad remaining in power in Syria. Indeed, Asaad’s
friendship with Iran is one of the reasons Iran is combating ISIS. While the
United States and Iran both want ISIS to be removed from the region, their
motives differ. Trading the quicker removal of ISIS for continued rule of Asaad
is not worth it according to some politicians.
Further, the announcement of the Russian partnership with
Iran comes just one day after the United States promised that Iran would not
become a state with a nuclear weapon. Ayatollah Khamenei called for the
annihilation of Israel recently. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu continues to
claim that Iranian leadership is irrational. Should Iran attain a nuclear weapon
and tensions in the region escalate there may not be enough trust between
Israel and Iran to prevent war and even possibly the use of a nuclear weapon.
One last strange point in the agreement is that Iran’s spent
nuclear fuel would be sent back to Russia for processing and packaging. This
could be a way for Iran to enrich nuclear materials for Russia in exchange for
a Russian made weapon. Masking the enriched matter as refuse makes it seem
innocent on the surface and facilitates movement of nuclear matter between the
two countries. If Russia is helping Iran build reactors it should also help
Iran manage the waste.
While questions of Iran’s motives are based largely on
speculation, double-dealing with the United States and its greatest enemy begs
questions of whether or not Iran is to be trusted. The situation is one that
will be monitored closely, no doubt, especially if Iran goes through with its
deal with Russia.
Sunday, November 9, 2014
Capital Doesn’t Fit With the Established Paradigm
I’ve read quite a bit about the book Capital in the Twenty-First Century, by Thomas Piketty, a French economist.
Capital has had an incredible impact
in the worlds of economics, political science, international relations, and sociology,
to name a few. Its main thesis is that because the return on investment of
capital is greater than the rate of economic growth, wealth will be distributed
unequally and democracy will be threatened. To rectify this, Piketty recommends
a global system of progressive, redistributive taxes on wealth, which is
arguably quite extreme.
While studying the Ruggie and Abdelal reading, I came
across a section, starting on page 157, that had an impression on me and
reminded me of Capital. It talked
about the paradoxical “uneasy relationship” between capital and international
capitalism. It recommended that capital be better regulated by both
international organizations and individual countries.
Relative to human history, the existence of capital, and
especially capital flowing across borders of towns, regions, countries, and
continents, is quite new. With the advent of such technologies and structures as
hyper-trading, where algorithms determine which stocks to buy and sell, quick
access to information, and structurally important financial institutions, capital’s
return has grown even greater. This alone isn’t necessarily a bad thing, but
combined with humanity’s inherent greed, leads to high economic inequality
amongst countries and individuals. This concentration of wealth, and therefore
of power, threatens the liberal democratic order by allowing the wealthy to
have ever more power at the expense of the people.
I agree with both of the arguments from Capital and Ruggiet et. al, and I agree
with the latter’s solution, since it seems to have a better chance of success
due to its nature of being relatively amenable to both populists and
financiers. However, I do not agree that a global system of wealth taxes should
be enacted. First of all, this would be too difficult to implement due to the
administrative costs alone. Second, because it is going from zero to 60, in
terms of ramping up of global wealth redistribution policies, it would be
effectively opposed by stakeholders, namely those that it would most heavily
affect.
Human Rights Violations as Collateral Damage? (blog post 3)
This post is a response
to this article.
In Kandahar, Afghanistan,
the name Abdul Raziq can be associated with the word fear. General Abdul Raziq
is the police chief of the province of Kandahar. In his time as chief, General
Raziq has lead a persistent fight against the Taliban. According to the New
York Times article “Powerful Afghan Police Chief Puts Fear in Taliban and TheirEnemies”, under General Raziq “insurgent attacks in the city have fallen by
two-thirds, according to Western Estimates”. For these changes, General Raziq
has received praise because now even the sound of his name strikes fear in the
Taliban.
How exactly did General
Abdul Raziq cast such a level of fear? In his three years of reign as one of
the most powerful Generals of Kandahar, General Abdul Raziq has impressed the
people of Kandahar and even American forces. General Abdul’s platform is
anti-Taliban, but he started his mission by regulating a drug trade that was
affecting the border. In addition to many successful stand-off’s with the
Taliban in 2011 under General Raziq, Ahmed Wali Karzai was killed. Ahmed Wali
Karzai was a particular person of interest because he allegedly abused C.I.A
funding and took part in drug smuggling. The killing of Ahmed Wali Karzai
helped General Raziq gain untouchable respect. In “Powerful Afghan Police Chief Puts Fear in Taliban and Their Enemies”, a former governor of Kandahar said
“Raziq is the god, the prophet, the governor and the president here in
Kandahar”. Former Governor Gul Agha Shirzai’s words is the mindset that many
citizens have of General Raziq.
At what costs did General
Raziq become so powerful to be called a “god”? In the New York Times article
above, it is reported that General Raziq has been frequently criticized because
of human rights concerns. One particular accusation against General Raziq was
from a report from the United Nations in a human rights report where 81 people
have gone missing after being held in the Kandahar police custody. Yet, General
Raziq has not faced any serious consequences.
I would argue that General Raziq’s
influence can be characterized as hard power. The General’s police force has
been relentless in their anti-Taliban pursuit. But does hard power always
require human rights violations as collateral damage? If General Raziq was not
so cruel in his pursuit would he still hold the influence that he currently
holds? In General Raziq’s case I am not sure because his power stems from fear
even within the borders of his own city. Not to say that fear within the
borders of a state is required for hard power because it can mean security for
the citizens of the state. In General Raziq’s case however, I think fear is a
necessary component to his success.
President Obama's Letter to Khamenei is a form of MAD
John Rookard
The above news article link talks
about a recent letter President Barack Obama wrote to the supreme leader of
Iran, Ayetollah Ali Khamenei this week about a possible partnership between
Iran and the United States. This letter
stirred up quite a bit of controversy because Republicans, who gained
controlled of both chambers of Congress, mostly disagreed with his actions. This letter to Khamenei and possible partnership
relates to international studies because it is an example of compellence in Mutually
Assured Destruction theory. I believe
that President Obama was not completely out of line in sending a secret letter
asking for Iranian support in the fight against ISIL.
Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD)
theory mostly relates to the use of nuclear weapons because they are so
destructive. MAD says that rational
leaders will not use nuclear weapons because of the weapons’ capabilities. It is known by the general public that Iran
is harvesting nuclear material and some say it could be weapons grade. This possible development of a nuclear weapon
combined with being in a bad neighborhood makes many American officials wary of
the idea of joining forces with Iran. In
the article, it was stated that Iran said their nuclear program is for peaceful
purposes. Whether you believe that or
not is not the issue here, but rather, this situation shows that the threat of
nuclear weapons creates fear.
Both the United States and Iran keep
each other honest with their nuclear capabilities. The Sokolowski reading for class is a bit
outdated but it shows that Iran is not given enough credit for responsibility of
having a nuclear weapon. Sokolowski
argues that Iran would be open to attacking Israel and supporting terror groups
in the area if they were to obtain a nuclear weapon. Again, I am here to argue that President
Obama trying to rally Iranian support is not a crazy idea because Iranian
leadership is more rational than usually assumed. MAD plays a role in this because Iranian
leaders know that the use of nuclear weapons against a U.S. ally would
certainly result in a second strike.
I believe President Obama realizes the
dangers associated with Iran but he is relying on MAD as well as the threat of
ISIL to compel Iranian leadership. Iran
has great interest in both Iraq and Syria and therefore Iran should help stop
ISIL’s movements. Compellence is a
strong tactic in MAD because it forces another party to undertake an action
through coercion. Although no clear act
of compellence like sanction or withdrawal from land has taken place; the
letter is the first step.
Reaching out to Iran was not a
horrible thing to do. Nuclear weapons
create fear, but ISIL is a threat that has to be dealt with now. Gathering support of countries in the Middle
East to stop this imminent threat can only help. Even if Iran’s nuclear program is not for
peaceful reasons, I highly doubt Iran will use it because nuclear weapons cause
rationality even among the craziest leaders.
Friday, November 7, 2014
Third Blog Post: Game Theory and Climate Change
Game Theory and Climate Change
Climate Change is upon us, and Humanity is not doing enough to counter the adverse effects. These effects include: rising sea level, rising temperatures (of the land, ocean, and atmosphere), ocean acidification, melting glaciers, increased incidence and severity of floods and droughts (depending on location), increased occurrences and magnitude of forest fires, desertification, decreased agricultural productivity, decreased labor in the summer, and civil/international unrest due to decreasing security. These issues are caused by the emissions of greenhouse gases - gases that trap infrared radiation and warm the planet. Examples of greenhouse gases include Carbon Dioxide, Methane, Nitrous Dioxide, and tropospheric ozone (ozone located in the troposphere due to human activities). The international scientific community has gotten together with 99% certainty via the UN sponsored Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Game theory can explain why the international community has not done enough to mitigate the effects of climate change.
In this game, there are two players: the developed countries and the developing countries.
As the two players are operating under anarchical conditions, each side is unrestricted in greenhouse gas emissions and do not know what the other player is going to do. There are short term economic benefits (despite the long term effects of climate change highlighted above) to emitting greenhouse gases. As a result, there is a “business as usual” scenario where the developed countries keep emitting and the developing countries are worse off. This is one of the inefficient outcomes. There is an opposite scenario of the “business as usual” scenario, where the developing countries emit and the developed countries forgo their emissions. This scenario is also inefficient as the developing countries are now better off in the short run and the developed countries are now relatively worse off. The last two scenarios are the efficient outcomes where either both countries emit the greenhouse gases, or where both countries abate their greenhouse gas emissions. The latter is the “worst-case” scenario as both players cause the effects of climate change and accelerate it. The former is the “best-case” scenario or the nash equilibrium as both countries become relatively worse off in the short-run to become much better off in the long run. Currently, we are at the point where the developed countries are emitting much more than the developing countries. It is also important to point out that the developed countries are much richer and have significantly higher GDPs due to their historic emissions of greenhouse gases. This makes them better able to respond to the effects of climate change than the developing countries.
So, why haven’t we reached the nash equilibrium? Third parties have an international and economic stake in this issue. The fossil fuel industry has a prevalent hand in many of the governments of the developed countries. The industry bought out many of the decision makers in these developed countries in order to prevent costly regulation of the industry that reduces the profit margins. The environmental interest groups are weak in comparison to the fossil fuel industry lobby as they lack resources. Another reason of why the developed countries have not been able to reduce their emissions is because of socialization. The economies of the developed countries are intertwined via trade. As regulations of one developed country raise the operating cost of the industry, firms in the industry will relocate to where the regulations are weakest. Thus, trade makes the economy worse off as firms can leave countries that don’t regulate their markets. The last reason that the nash equilibrium was not reached was due to the failed institutions of the UN. These institutions are the Kyoto Protocol and the Warsaw Climate Summit. These meetings had weak enforcement of rules and regulations for each country involved. Incentives for developed countries to stick to the agreement were nonexistent. At warsaw, the developed countries walked out due to the influence of the third parties. Because of third parties, socialization, and failed institutions, the developed and developing countries have not reached the nash equilibrium. Hopefully, although I am not optimistic, things will change next year in Paris.
As the two players are operating under anarchical conditions, each side is unrestricted in greenhouse gas emissions and do not know what the other player is going to do. There are short term economic benefits (despite the long term effects of climate change highlighted above) to emitting greenhouse gases. As a result, there is a “business as usual” scenario where the developed countries keep emitting and the developing countries are worse off. This is one of the inefficient outcomes. There is an opposite scenario of the “business as usual” scenario, where the developing countries emit and the developed countries forgo their emissions. This scenario is also inefficient as the developing countries are now better off in the short run and the developed countries are now relatively worse off. The last two scenarios are the efficient outcomes where either both countries emit the greenhouse gases, or where both countries abate their greenhouse gas emissions. The latter is the “worst-case” scenario as both players cause the effects of climate change and accelerate it. The former is the “best-case” scenario or the nash equilibrium as both countries become relatively worse off in the short-run to become much better off in the long run. Currently, we are at the point where the developed countries are emitting much more than the developing countries. It is also important to point out that the developed countries are much richer and have significantly higher GDPs due to their historic emissions of greenhouse gases. This makes them better able to respond to the effects of climate change than the developing countries.
Sunday, October 26, 2014
Before I begin, I need to clarify something. If you know
what Reddit (stylized as “reddit”) is, this paragraph isn’t pertinent. If you
don’t… reddit (http://www.reddit.com/) is a
content aggregation website, which is split up into subsections, or
subredddits, devoted to different topics. Users either post links to external
websites, or “self posts,” blocks of text. Users can then comment on those
posts. There is A LOT of inane content: “funny” pictures, sexual content, and
other such relatively base things. However, there are a lot of more
intellectual subreddits that facilitate incredibly deep discussions.
The two most relevant subreddits to this class are http://www.reddit.com/r/polandball
and http://www.reddit.com/r/history.
However, this post is not about either of those two. Rather, it is about http://www.reddit.com/r/hfy. The “hfy”
stands for “Humanity, F*** Yeah!”, and consists of science-fiction stories
about how awesome humanity is, as written from the point of view of non-humans.
These stories largely center on the fact that humanity is underestimated by
nonhumans as stupid, unadvanced, lazy, incompetent, and undeserving of contact
outside their species, and usually result in humanity displaying its
awesomeness.
When I found this subreddit, I thought back to the Enloe
reading, and how it talked about, to borrow from the title, “how to overcome
the underestimation of power in international relations”. The author discussed
a pyramid of power (which initially elicits a mental image of an ‘80’s workout
pose) at the base of which are those at the margins of power. They argue that
the base is more powerful in the
long-term than the top.
In these “hfy” stories, humans are the base of the power pyramid.
We are slow to react and almost always technologically behind, but when
stimulated, we transfer latent power into real power through unabashed paeans
by the authors of these stories (who are, in fact, humans) to the values of humanness,
human creativity, ingenuity, and adaptability, and other similarly subjective
and illogical concepts. In reading these stories, I found myself thinking to
realism quite a bit, due to the heavy focus on the military and the description
of our latent power.
At descriptions of our might, I found myself getting a
bit teary eyed. I recommend this story (http://imgur.com/gallery/w3nA4).
Happy readings!
India offers polio aid to Pakistan
http://www.thehindu.com/todays-paper/tp-national/india-offers-to-help-pakistan-eradicate-polio-infection/article6531898.ece
The article above reports that the health minister of India
has offered to aid Pakistan in eradicating polio in the country. The offer of
aid from India is a bit surprising because Pakistan and India have not been
friendly neighbors since the end of WWII. There have been multiple disputes,
often centering on the territory of Kashmir. India’s offer of medical aid
probably stems from the country’s desire to keep polio out. Pakistan would be
wise to accept India’s aid because India has experience treating the virus, the
Pakistani people are unlikely to trust aid from the United States, and India
gains mutual benefit from the eradication the virus in Pakistan.
Polio is a virus that causes
inflammation in the spinal chord that can extend up to the brain stem. Swelling
in the spinal chord and brain stem can cause paralysis or breathing problems.
Recently the virus began spreading in Asia, Africa, and the Middle East.
According to the article 85% of the world’s polio cases are in Pakistan. India
had its own polio problem in the past, at one point serving as home to 60% of
the world’s polio cases. India is now a certified polio-free nation. India has
major crowding issues and living conditions there are conducive to the spread
of polio. Despite the obstacles, India still managed to eradicate polio through
heavy vaccination and could help Pakistan do the same using a similar
vaccination campaign.
India will face resistance from
Pakistan because of a CIA operation that took place in 2011 while the CIA was
hunting for Osama bin Laden. In an effort to locate bin Laden the CIA employed
a vaccination campaign in Pakistan. The campaign used fake vaccinations in an
effort to acquire DNA that could be linked to bin Laden. Pakistanis found out
about the campaign and the Taliban banned vaccinations. Since then vaccinators
have met violence and even been killed in Pakistan. The way the United States
employed fake vaccinations means it is unlikely that Pakistan will accept any aid
from the US in fighting polio; indeed, Pakistan will probably have a difficult
time trusting any vaccination plans. That being said Pakistan should trust
India.
India
shares a border with Pakistan. Contact between citizens in border regions could
lead to the reappearance of polio in India. This is an outcome India would like
to avoid as its urban areas are still densely populated and the dirty
conditions are conducive to the spread of polio. In this case it is feasible to
believe India would put aside past conflict with Pakistan in order to achieve
an outcome that benefits both nations.
If Pakistan
hopes to rid itself of polio it needs to start vaccinating citizens. In order
to most quickly vaccinate its population it would greatly help if Pakistan
accepts India’s assistance. India’s mutual interest in eliminating polio from
the region has led it to extend an olive branch to Pakistan. It would be silly
for Pakistan to decline.
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